Two tools for extracting trend and cycle components from time-series data are:
- The Hodrick-Prescott filter, which extracts the TREND component from time-series data and leaves the CYCLE, SEASONAL and IRREGULAR components behind
- The Baxter-King method, which extracts the CYCLE component from time-series data and leaves the TREND, SEASONAL and IRREGULAR components behind
For the HP filter, values of lambda depend on the frequency of the data: the more frequent, the higher the lambda:
- Annual: 100
- Quarterly: 1600
- Monthly: 14400
Both methods use centered moving averages (CMAs), so the values at the very beginning and very end of the extracted series will not mean much. The Baxter-King method cuts 3 years’ worth of data from the beginning and end of the extracted series.
Perhaps lambda is [(periods per year)^2]*100? Eh?
By: jakakistan on July 15, 2008
at 11:24 pm